Ana Carmen Cebrián Guajardo

Centre: Departamento de Métodos Estadísticos. Área: Estadística e Investigación Operativa
Institution: University of Zaragoza, Zaragoza (Spain)
Position: Researcher from the University of Zaragoza
E-mail: acebrian@unizar.es
Phone: 976 762885
Profile:  Ver

Personal statement
I am a full professor in the Department of Statistical Methods at the University of Zaragoza. My first line of research was the development of methods based on the theory of extremes with climatic applications, a subject on which I wrote my doctoral thesis in 1999. After obtaining the Prix FSR2000 from the Statistical Institute of the Université Catholique de Louvain (Belgium), in 2000 and 2001, I did a post-doc at that University, working on the analysis of extremes. In 2001, I returned to UNIZAR and continued working on the analysis of extreme events with univariate and bivariate inhomogeneous Poisson processes. I have been a member of the research group Stochastic Models, recognized as a Reference Group by the Government of Aragon since 2016. I have been a member of BIFI since 2021.

Researcher profile identity
Currently, I am an R4 researcher. My main lines of research focus on statistical modeling, in particular on the development of spatio-temporal models in the framework of Bayesian analysis, mainly with applications in the analysis of climate data. In particular, the models focus on the analysis of extreme values, such as exceedances over threshold, quantiles and records. The research team in which I work has been collaborating for several years with Professor Alan Gelfand and others at Duke University on the development of spatio-temporal models in the framework of hierarchical models. We also collaborate with Professor Giovanna Jona-Lasinio and her team at the University of La Sapienza in Rome. I am currently PI of two national research projects.

Why my research is important
Statistical modeling is a fundamental tool in multiple fields, and the models developed in my research group are significant for assessing and quantifying the effects of global warming on temperature and other climate signals. For example, I have participated in several multidisciplinary projects to study the effects of climate change on hydrological models. I have collaborated on four contracts with the Ebro Hydrographic Confederation (CHE) to analyze the variability of temperature, precipitation, and pollution in rivers and to develop predictive models to predict the Ebro River level in situations of potential flood risk. I am also part of the Biostatnet network, which focuses on the development of statistical tools for biodata analysis.

Know more about me and my research
– http://metodosestadisticos.unizar.es/personal/ana-carmen cebrian-guajardo